Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.084672 0.100457 0.118149 0.139419 0.164263 0.192334 0.226422
2025-03-02 0.058288 0.077900 0.102399 0.135117 0.177522 0.230466 0.301406
2025-03-09 0.044598 0.065507 0.093949 0.135177 0.193065 0.271049 0.383587
2025-03-16 0.035069 0.055798 0.086094 0.133116 0.203659 0.304803 0.459841
2025-03-23 0.029632 0.050525 0.083006 0.136453 0.221265 0.349416 0.556025
2025-03-30 0.024605 0.044711 0.077789 0.135193 0.231024 0.382813 0.638824
2025-04-06 0.020368 0.039286 0.072093 0.131900 0.236519 0.409530 0.713571
2025-04-13 0.016849 0.034389 0.066360 0.127404 0.238950 0.430959 0.781455
2025-04-20 0.014936 0.032089 0.064790 0.129879 0.253548 0.474145 0.890612
2025-04-27 0.013162 0.029707 0.062638 0.130840 0.265309 0.513389 0.996823
2025-05-04 0.011633 0.027530 0.060505 0.131431 0.276273 0.552129 1.105981
2025-05-11 0.010451 0.025874 0.059141 0.133295 0.289815 0.596926 1.230944
2025-05-18 0.009652 0.024971 0.059296 0.138503 0.311103 0.659605 1.398537
2025-05-25 0.008249 0.022380 0.055363 0.134344 0.312395 0.682998 1.491300
2025-06-01 0.007336 0.020808 0.053474 0.134429 0.322750 0.725858 1.628151
2025-06-08 0.006424 0.019049 0.050847 0.132385 0.328039 0.758552 1.747041
2025-06-15 0.005921 0.018280 0.050499 0.135706 0.345955 0.820170 1.934100
2025-06-22 0.005254 0.016918 0.048428 0.134452 0.352901 0.858259 2.073312
2025-06-29 0.004588 0.015413 0.045728 0.131177 0.354486 0.884307 2.188025
2025-07-06 0.003965 0.013903 0.042752 0.126703 0.352460 0.901681 2.284443
2025-07-13 0.003667 0.013350 0.042361 0.129166 0.368473 0.963452 2.491400
2025-07-20 0.003350 0.012666 0.041476 0.130122 0.380647 1.017150 2.684253
2025-07-27 0.003055 0.011993 0.040514 0.130710 0.391905 1.069726 2.879513